Sunday, February 10, 2008

The challenge of abundance

41namleqiel_bo2204203200_pisitbdp50 by Michel Bauwens

I'm a little of an outsider in this crowd, but I reacted to Randolph's invitation and thought I would have a go at challenging not just capitalism 1.0, but capitalism as such. And not from a capitalism 2.0 point of view, but from a capitalism 3.0 point of view, as outlined by Peter Barnes in the book of the same name.

What I would like to do in the next few weeks is to point to a few 'challenges' that current technological affordances are creating for the system as is, such as the challenge of abundance, of openness, of the demands for participation, and from commons-oriented approaches.

Let's start with the challenge of abundance.

Continue reading "The challenge of abundance" »

Friday, September 14, 2007

Every Breath Ben Bernanke Takes

By Randolph

Ironically, this video spoof is even more relevant today than when the kids at Columbia Business School put it together over a year ago.

We can only dream of what the Fed would have been like under Dean Hubbard, sadly.

Monday, May 14, 2007

Housing Market Fiction

ForsalehouseBy Randolph

Fact or Fiction: The US Housing Market is "gently correcting".  In fact, "now is a great time to buy!".

...and here's some carefully staged, professionally smoothed, and attractively presented data from the NAR et. al. to prove it...

But wait a minute, someone has actually taken the time to go get the same source data sets and draw the same graphs.  But they've come to a very different conclusion...

Continue reading "Housing Market Fiction" »

Saturday, March 17, 2007

Linden dollars, Terrorism and Crime

Burning_bridges In "The Linden Dollar Game", commenter, Matt Beam, near the end of the discussion raised a very interesting question which hasn't been discussed very widely.

Just a question:

If anyone around the world can play 'Second Life' and exchange his currency into Linden-Dollars and back, so can two users fake a deal like followed and transfer real money for a real threat:

Sleeper in US builds trivia in SL and offers financier in Middle East for a fantastic prize. Financier exchanges amount into LDs, pays sleeper in LDs, who exchanges them into USDs, commits the crime and no one can prevent this transaction.

Am I right ?

Regards
Matt

Posted by: Matt Beam | Saturday, March 17, 2007 at 02:47

Continue reading "Linden dollars, Terrorism and Crime" »

Monday, March 05, 2007

SF Bay Area Housing Bubble Battle

House_5 As the yen carry trade unwinds, the DOW vacillates wildly, market volatility continues to rise, and the idea of risk returns to the minds of investors world over, we are left with one, stubborn enigma:  The price of houses in the San Francisco Bay Area.

At this point, there is no denying that real estate prices are in a full on correction, nation wide.  Anyone with an ounce of honesty now fully recognizes the existence of a bubble.  The few who doubted the bubble have now seen their stake in the bet that the subprime loan game would last forever vaporize.  All you need to do is Google subprime meltdown for a current counting of the carnage.

Continue reading "SF Bay Area Housing Bubble Battle" »

Tuesday, February 20, 2007

The Linden dollar Game

On Schemes Resembling Objects of Intersecting Trilateral Sides upon a Polygonal Base

In a previous article I asked some very tough questions about the Second Life virtual economy.  That article provocatively proposed a case as to why I believe Second Life's much hyped economy resembles a pyramid Ponzi, or more accurately a type of high yield investment program (HYIP) scheme.  After posting that article I was partially convinced by many respondents that Second Life probably is not a Ponzi scheme as a precise legal definition -- at least probably not in most jurisdictions.  Indeed, after learning more about HYIPs, and in particular HYIP Games, Second Life and the game's system of "virtual currency" satisfy many of the attributes of such schemes.  More about HYIPs later.  First, some background:

Continue reading "The Linden dollar Game" »

Sunday, February 04, 2007

One Bubble of a Ride

House_4

[Randolph Harrison]

A typical house, in typical suburban San Francisco neighborhood. You could call it "upper middle class". A good grade school, a not so good high school, friendly neighbors, beautiful parks, and everyone seems to forever labor to keep their picket fences white and flowerbeds planted.

This is the tale of a home, purchased in 1996, sold in 2002, and now for sale again in 2007. This is a true story of the real estate bubble, with a real house, real data, real people, and real fortunes to be won and lost.

Continue reading "One Bubble of a Ride" »

Sunday, January 28, 2007

Are Second Life “Businesses” Worth Anything? Willing to Prove It?

Hedgefund_3[Comments Closed]

After writing a highly controversial analysis of the Second Life economy, asserting that it resembles a ponzi pyramid scheme in structure, I received any number of testimonials from apparently profitable Second Life business operators.

This started me thinking. Perhaps media hype aside, these virtual ventures really do have quantifiable value, a claim which can be tested. Second Life ventures should be measurable by widely accepted, standard methods, if they are indeed legitimate. This is a critical issue. The media is trumpeting the virtues of Second Life, with the passive and sometimes more active support of the game’s maker, Linden Research (Privately held, “Linden Labs”, “LL”). A brief sampling of news links from the official Second Life website operated by LL in support of Second Life include:

Continue reading "Are Second Life “Businesses” Worth Anything? Willing to Prove It?" »

Tuesday, January 23, 2007

SecondLife: Revolutionary Virtual Market or Ponzi Scheme?

Ponzi

[Comments reopened.  Deutsche Bemerkungen begrüßt.]

Follow up article on the Linden dollar is here.

In 2005 I began working as a venture consultant for some entrepreneurs and investors trying to develop a fairly ambitious “real-money-trading” (RMT) business idea. My work resulted in my collection of a large amount of RMT market data for most of the popular massively multiplayer games and virtual worlds. Although the new venture was never pursued due to my analysis of the true RMT market, one game caught our particular interest: SecondLife, operated by Linden Research Inc. (privately held, San Francisco CA).

Unlike the makers of nearly all other online games, the operators of SecondLife not only allow and encourage the exchange of game currency for real money, but they actually facilitate it. As early as 2005 I began noticing a rumbling in interest-focused blogs about the exploding market that was SecondLife. Touted as a pioneering future Metaverse on the industry’s most informed blog, TerraNova, an array of journalists, academics, and company executives have claimed that SecondLife boasts an economy complete with in-game banks, multiple currency exchanges, a floating currency exchange rate, and a burgeoning in-game commerce and business base.

Continue reading "SecondLife: Revolutionary Virtual Market or Ponzi Scheme?" »

Wednesday, August 23, 2006

Housing Bubble Economics

House_3There has been a lot of main stream media coverage of the Housing Bubble lately.  I've been covering it for over two years.  A lot of the discussions over at Patrick.net recently have focused on buyers, sellers and prices.  So, let's talk some basic economics...

Continue reading "Housing Bubble Economics" »

Rules and Terms

Tech Industry Analysis

Blog powered by TypePad